Wednesday 8 February 2017

GlobalData: Solar PV module market set to decline despite significant capacity addition by 2020

 GlobalData expects the average PV module price to drop to USD 0.47 per watt by 2020
According to a new GlobalData (London, UK) report, solar photovoltaic (PV) module annual installed capacity is set to increase gradually from 49.77 Gigawatts (GW) in 2015 to 69.86 GW by 2020, due to an increase in economies of scale, emerging technologies, and policy-based governmental and institutional support for the industry.
PV module prices are estimated to dip further during the forecast period due to competitive market conditions.
Despite an increase in PV module capacity additions, the global solar PV market will decline in value from USD 39.71 billion in 2016 to USD 33.43 billion in 2020, the market research company expects.

PV module buyers will be creating persistent price pressures
“With minimal price differences between module suppliers, buyers are price sensitive, thus creating persistent price pressures,” says GlobalData.
With the year-on-year reduction in global PV module prices, the projects have less capital investment and have driven the solar power system installations on the whole.
The crystalline silicon (c-Si) and thin-film modules have seen large price drops since 2010. The average price of a module was approximately USD 2.17 per watt and USD 1.99 per watt in 2010 for c-Si and thin-film modules, respectively.

Average PV module price expected to drop to USD 0.47 per watt by 2020
Module prices fell sharply in 2011 due to a production rush, leading to oversupply. Falling prices stabilized starting 2014 and reached USD 0.61 per watt and USD 0.60 per watt in 2015 for c-Si and thin-film module, respectively.
This price is expected to fall further during the forecast period, reaching USD 0.48 per watt and USD 0.46 per watt for c-Si and thin-film module, respectively, by 2020, according to GlobalData. 
source: http://www.solarserver.com

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